If he fails to do so, he is out, with the putout credited to the infielder and an assist to the pitcher. For all their star power, depth and versatility are every bit as much a part of the Dodgers' prolonged run of success in recent years. From an overall standpoint, these were two high-powered offenses of virtually equal quality. Simply put, we serve up free baseball picks from our experts just like that. Including the playoffs, the Reds and Marlins combined to go 64-63 and were outscored by 54 runs. A pick-off is considered to be a baserunning mistake, even if it not usually captured in individual statistics as it is not a caught stealing. And it's not just the venue that might suppress the long ball, at least to some degree. Be it research on weather forecasts, geographical realities, stadium dimension and more – for example, Denver's altitude makes Coors Field a right challenge for many pitchers, while Wrigley Field in Chicago can get super windy – they've got it covered for MLB picks. If there has been one negative aspect of the Dodgers' early postseason run, it's been the inability of Kenley Jansen to halt the peppering of closer-related questions in Dave Roberts' Zoom-based interviews. The Dodgers -- no surprise -- are tied for first with the Mets at 122. However, the Padres were an elite club this season, especially on offense, and the Dodgers still rolled through them with little drama save for a bad ninth inning in Game 2. Maybe you wouldn't declare an edge for Max Fried and Ian Anderson in however those matchups shake out, but based on recent performance, it's a good debate. Betting on the run line allows bettors to find value in matchups that are otherwise lopsided in straight up betting markets due to an edge presented by All-Star caliber pitchers. Game 7: Sunday, Oct. 18, Fox or FS1 (if necessary). On the contrary, it's a discerning and non-discriminatory look at the broad spectrum of the field in play with a complete breakdown of each and every game. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? However, the Dodgers not only have more weapons than they can actually fit onto a playoff roster -- they can customize their mix to whatever roster strategy you might counter with. Many historical player head shots courtesy of David Davis. Depth is often an overexaggerated factor when it comes to previewing playoff matchups. That doesn't ensure anything against a lineup as good and as deep as that of the Dodgers. Our top-notch handicappers take care of all the hard graft that goes into researching external factors. Check out our MLB best bets for our top plays on today’s games. L.A. had the edge at six of the nine positions, including 19-run advantages at both second base and right field. Dodgers: Once L.A. acquired Betts from the Boston Red Sox in February, the Dodgers became the odds-on World Series favorite. On the other hand, the Braves ranked just 22nd in this esoteric category, allowing 3.03 non-homer runs per contest. The Los Angeles Dodgers boast a deep and powerful lineup that led baseball in runs scored, while the Atlanta Braves scored just one fewer time than L.A. this season. This National League Championship Series isn't just about the players capable of providing offensive fireworks, though. We present them here for purely educational purposes. And the Dodgers caught a break when San Diego's top two pitchers, Mike Clevinger and Dinelson Lamet, turned up injured at just the wrong time. Copyright © 2000-2020 Sports Reference LLC. are likely to have a greater impact on MLB games today than in previous terms. Now let's consider how the teams did their scoring. Our expert handicappers painstakingly preview games by analyzing baseball statistics, data records and trends to not only serve up the best MLB predictions but also deliver comprehensive reasoning for each recommended wager, all the while scrutinizing MLB odds from a list of top-notch online sportsbooks like BetOnline, Bovada, Intertops and Bookmaker. Still, by 2020 standards, the GLF looks like a tough home run ballpark. Game 6: Saturday, Oct. 17, Fox or FS1 (if necessary) Well, a bottom-line metric, anyway. It doesn't matter if you are a sharp baller or if you are just starting out and taking your first swing, at SBR we've got you covered. If he is successful in reaching it before the ball can be relayed there, he is credited with a stolen base; if not, he is out on a caught stealing with the pitcher receiving an assist. But it sure doesn't hurt. All Right Reserved, Dodgers vs. Rays 2020 World Series Game 5 Picks, Dodgers vs. Rays 2020 World Series Game 5 Player Props and Team Totals Picks, Dodgers vs. Rays 2020 World Series Game 3 Player Props and Team Totals Picks, Dodgers vs. Rays 2020 World Series Game 3 Picks, Dodgers vs. Rays 2020 World Series Game 4 Picks, Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: World Series Preview and Picks, Rays vs. Dodgers Game 2: Free MLB World Series Picks and Predictions, Rays vs. Dodgers 2020 World Series Game 2 Player Props and Team Totals Picks. Our MLB score predictions are keenly followed because no sport is as influenced by environmental and conditional intangibles as much as baseball is and these factors can greatly impact the outcome of games and bets. However, there was a big disparity when it came to allowing runs by other means. If you like offense, this is the series for you. No gimmicks. The Braves are an outstanding team, and even in a normal season, it would have been less than surprising to see them oppose the Dodgers in the NLCS. The teams were close in runs saved via shifting, so the difference was all about the players. Game 4 delivered 4 hours and 10 minutes of baseball bliss. On top of that, Atlanta has the more versatile attack when it comes to scoring without the long ball. It simply doesn't get more straightforward than placing a wager on a team to win. minor league rule for extra innings apply league-wide). During that same time frame, Kershaw is 5-1, 2.05; Buehler is 0-0, 2.29 in just 19⅔ innings; and Fried is 3-0 with a 3.55. 3. Playoff bracket, schedule and more ». Can we say that about the Dodgers? According to defensive runs saved, the Dodgers ranked second at plus-29, while the Braves were 21st at minus-8. In any given baseball season, a jam-packed schedule stretches before bettors weekly that often cracks more than a dozen games to bet on. Home to MLB Previews, Predictions and Expert Tips. However, if you've ever wondered how they do it, why they're so good with their baseball predictions, then you're in luck. Our experts know this and are committed to doing the hard work and good research required to build a winning strategy. The Dodgers have a 73.3% chance of winning the series. They have a star right fielder in Mookie Betts who could plausibly start at second base. Among pitchers who threw at least 30 regular-season innings (there were 158 of them), Anderson's 0.7% homer rate led the majors. Let's use wRC+ from FanGraphs to measure contextualized team offense. As with any sport, betting the moneyline is the most straightforward of any betting types. How could a team with two frontline starters who entered the season with exactly 19 career wins between them have any kind of an edge against a team that can roll out Walker Buehler and Clayton Kershaw at the beginning of a series? We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. But here's another thing about this top two of Atlanta: They are extremely difficult to homer off of. Braves-Dodgers NLCS: Expect fireworks as MLB's two best offenses meet, Clayton Kershaw's real postseason problem? 2020 @ Sportsbook Review. After which the postseason began and ran another month after that. Of all the betting types, MLB picks on the run line and are some of the most sought-after from our expert cappers, though in baseball the spread goes by a different name: the run line and it's set to a 1.5-run spread. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. The runner must return to the base before a tag is applied by the fielder receiving the throw. But for the first time in a very long time, the Dodgers don't necessarily know who their ninth-inning guy should be. Melancon might not be peak-level Mariano Rivera, but he has held down the ninth-inning job and allowed Atlanta manager Brian Snitker to establish an effective bullpen hierarchy. Wild-card series: Defeated Cincinnati 2-0. Braves: Led by their high-scoring offense, the Braves cruised to the NL East crown with a 35-25 record that netted them the No. 25 ways he has made the Dodgers even better, Passan: How Mookie Betts just made the super-sabermetric World Series super-fun, How the Rays became the Rays: Inside the brain trust of MLB's most innovative team, 2021 MLB draft order set by 2020 standings, MLB offseason preview: What's next for teams already out of the playoffs, MLB Thursday Takeaways: Yankees force Game 5; Dodgers, Astros, Braves move on, Ian Anderson's emergence makes Braves biggest threat to Dodgers, Fueled by Cody Bellinger, Dodgers-Padres brings down (empty) house, Sports reporter, Kansas City Star, 2002-09, Member, Baseball Writers Association of America, Member, Professional Basketball Writers Association. Win Expectancy, Run Expectancy, and Leverage Index calculations provided by Tom Tango of InsideTheBook.com, and co-author of The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball. 'Man, baseball is fun': Social media reacts to the wild finish to World Series Game 4, How valuable is Mookie Betts? Alternatively, the runner may decide to try to run to the next base - if it is unoccupied - instead of returning to the base he is occupying. It's a strength of both pitching staffs to keep the ball in the yard. Not all of this can be chalked up to fielding, but the metrics suggest a huge disparity between these teams in that area. Here at SBR, our baseball experts serve up a comprehensive serving of the best MLB picks of the day, week or weekend, scouting reports on pitchers, team news, weather, travel and so on. The second start of a series. Our experts comprise some of the best minds in the handicapping business and during this truncated year they eagerly served up MLB 2020 predictions for the regular season and the postseason. Here's how both teams got here, odds to advance, the case for both teams to win the series and more. Anderson's track record is short but it's also overwhelming, and his changeup has quickly emerged as one of baseball's most devastating pitches. The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5 which means at the end of the game if you take away 1.5 points from the favorite or add 1.5 points to the underdog do they end up winning the game, if so you win your MLB pick. SBR's expert handicappers bring wide-ranging expertise to the table, spanning a slew of mainstream American sports that includes NFL, NCAAF, NBA, NHL and more. Make your picks and win up to $5,000! They have a star center fielder in Cody Bellinger who has spent much of his young career as a Gold Glove-caliber first baseman. NL Division Series: Defeated San Diego 3-0, Game 1: Monday, Oct. 12, Fox or FS1 Much of the play-by-play, game results, and transaction information both shown and used to create certain data sets was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by RetroSheet.